Solar ROI Pro Report

Will solar actually pay for itself on your roof?

Enter your quote and your electric bill. Get the real payback period, 25-year profit, and the red flags installers hope you never check — in about 60 seconds, no sign-up.

$2.50–$3.50Fair cash price per watt, 2026
10–30%Hidden dealer fees in many solar loans
20–30 yrsCash-flow horizon · 25 by default
A house with a full rooftop solar panel array under a blue sky

A well-priced system in a sunny state can pay for itself in 6–9 years. An overpriced, financed one may never break even. The math below tells you which one you're being sold.

01 Your system & quote

Start from a preset, then adjust to match the quote in your hand.

kW DC
USD

The full contract price — panels, inverter, labor, permits. Cash price if they gave you one.

The 30% federal residential credit (Section 25D) ended Dec 31, 2025 — for systems installed in 2026 it is 0%. Leave at 0 unless you have a confirmed, different credit.

USD

Rebates, state credits, or SREC value you are confident you'll actually receive.

02 Your roof & utility

Sun and electricity prices decide everything. Pick your state — production is pre-filled from typical yields.

kWh / kW / yr

If your quote lists a Year-1 production estimate (kWh), divide it by system size and enter it here — that's more accurate than any state average.

$ / kWh

Use your bill's all-in rate: total $ ÷ total kWh. Delivery charges count.

kWh / yr

100% = full 1:1 net metering. Many utilities now pay 25–75% of the retail rate for power you send back. Check your utility's current policy — it changes the answer a lot.

03 Money assumptions

Kept visible on purpose — a report that hides its assumptions is selling you something.

US residential rates have risen roughly 3%/yr long-term. Higher escalation = faster payback.

USD

String inverters typically last 10–15 years. Microinverters often carry 25-year warranties — set to $0 if yours does.

Your verdict

Strong deal

— simple payback period (breaks even in —)
Net cost to you—
Year-1 savings—
25-yr net profit—
Return on cost—lifetime, undiscounted
Avg monthly saving—after break-even costs
CO₂ avoided—
Your price per watt 2026 fair cash range: $2.50–$3.50/W
$1.50$3.00$4.50$6.00+

The report file is generated on this page from your numbers — year-by-year table, financing breakdown, and the questions to send your installer before you sign.

Not financial advice — estimates from the numbers you entered. Verify with a licensed installer before signing anything.

Cumulative cash flow

Every year, after all costs. Crossing zero = you've got your money back.

In profit Still paying back Break-even

Tap or hover the line for year-by-year values.

Red-flag check

The checks a careful engineer runs before signing anything.

    What if the future disagrees?

    Same system, three futures. If even the pessimistic case pays back, the deal is robust.

    Pessimistic

    —

    Rates rise 1.5%/yr, production 10% below estimate

    Your inputs

    —

    Exactly the assumptions on the left

    Optimistic

    —

    Rates rise 4.5%/yr, production as quoted

    Year by year

    Production degrades 0.5%/yr. Savings include export credits and, if financed, loan payments.

    YearOutput kWhRate $/kWhNet savingCumulative

    The Pro Report — what the free calculators won't show you

    Free tools stop at payback. The Pro Report is the document you send back to the installer: it prices the financing tricks, stress-tests the production promise, and gives you the exact questions that make quotes drop.

    • Dealer-fee & loan true-cost breakdown
    • Production estimate audit vs. your roof
    • Net-metering policy impact, year by year
    • Cash vs. loan vs. lease side-by-side
    • 12 questions to ask before signing
    • Negotiation targets: fair $/W for your state
    $149 elsewhere
    $49 one-time

    Launch offer for the prototype: the full report downloads free today, generated from your numbers above.

    How this is calculated

    Production: system size × state yield (typical values consistent with NREL PVWatts results for a well-sited residential roof) × roof factor, degrading 0.5%/yr. Savings: solar you use yourself offsets the full retail rate; surplus is credited at your export %; when production exceeds your home's usage, only the exported portion earns the export rate. Costs: net cost after the incentives you entered, one inverter replacement at year 12 if set, and — for loans — monthly payments on principal grossed up by the dealer fee, at your APR and term. Benchmarks: 2026 US residential cash systems commonly price around $2.50–$3.50/W (Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Tracking the Sun); financed systems price materially higher. The US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has flagged solar-loan dealer fees of roughly 10–30%+ embedded in financed prices. Figures are estimates for comparing quotes — not financial advice, and not a substitute for a site-specific engineering assessment.